Thursday’s game that pits the No. 11 Tennessee Volunteers (4-0) versus the Virginia Cavaliers (3-0) at Baha Mar Convention Center has a good chance to be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 78-56 in favor of Tennessee, who is heavily favored by our model. Tipoff is at 9:30 PM ET on November 21.

Based on our computer prediction, Tennessee projects to cover the 12.5-point spread in its matchup against Virginia. The over/under has been set at 125.5, and the two sides are projected to exceed it.

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Tennessee vs. Virginia Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, November 21, 2024
• Time: 9:30 PM ET
• TV: CBS Sports Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Nassau, Bahamas
• Venue: Baha Mar Convention Center
• Line: Tennessee -12.5
• Point total: 125.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -1000, Virginia +640

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Tennessee vs. Virginia Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 78, Virginia 56

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Virginia

• Pick ATS: Tennessee (-12.5)
• Pick OU: Over (125.5)

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• On offense, Tennessee was the 52nd-ranked squad in college basketball (78.8 points per game) last year. On defense, it was 55th (67.4 points allowed per game).
• Last year, the Volunteers were 29th in the country in rebounds (35.9 per game) and 205th in rebounds conceded (32).
• Last season Tennessee was 20th-best in college basketball in assists with 16.6 per game.
• The Volunteers were 50th in the country in 3-pointers made (8.8 per game) and 156th in 3-point percentage (34.4%) last season.
• Defensively, Tennessee was 190th in the country in 3-pointers conceded per game at 7.4 last season. It was 36th in 3-point percentage conceded at 31.2%.
• Tennessee took 41.2% percent of its shots from behind the 3-point line last season, and 32.2% of its made baskets are from there. Inside the arc, it took 58.8% of its shots, with 67.8% of its makes coming from there.

Virginia Performance Insights

• Because of Virginia’s offensive struggles last season, ranking third-worst in the country with 62.9 points per game, it was forced to count on its defense, which ranked third-best in college basketball by allowing 59.8 points per game.
• The Cavaliers grabbed 29.4 rebounds per game (329th-ranked in college basketball). They allowed 32.1 rebounds per contest (209th-ranked).
• Virginia ranked 65th in the country with 15 dimes per game.
• The Cavaliers forced 11.2 turnovers per game last season (175th-ranked in college basketball), but they committed only 7.5 turnovers per game (second-best).
• The Cavaliers were 265th in the nation with 6.5 treys per game last year. Meanwhile, they ranked 78th with a 35.8% shooting percentage from downtown.
• Virginia surrendered 6.4 treys per game last season (62nd-ranked in college basketball), and it allowed a 30.5% three-point percentage (24th-best).
• Of the shots attempted by Virginia last year, 67.4% of them were two-pointers (72.8% of the team’s made baskets) and 32.6% were threes (27.2%).

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