Tuesday’s contest features the No. 6 Tennessee Volunteers (16-2, 3-2 SEC) and the No. 15 Mississippi State Bulldogs (15-3, 3-2 SEC) squaring off at Thompson-Boling Arena (on January 21) at 7:00 PM ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 76-68 win for Tennessee.

Based on our computer prediction, Mississippi State projects to cover the 8.5-point spread in its matchup against Tennessee. The total has been set at 137.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, January 21, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
• Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
• Line: Tennessee -8.5
• Point total: 137.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -385, Mississippi State +300

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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 76, Mississippi State 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+8.5)
• Pick OU: Over (137.5)

Tennessee’s record against the spread so far this season is 11-7-0, while Mississippi State’s is 9-9-0. The Volunteers have a 7-11-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Bulldogs have a record of 10-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams average 159.7 points per game, 22.2 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Tennessee is 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall while Mississippi State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers’ +325 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 18 points per game) is a result of scoring 76.8 points per game (128th in college basketball) while giving up 58.8 per contest (fifth in college basketball).
• Tennessee is 50th in the country at 35.5 rebounds per game. That’s 9.3 more than the 26.2 its opponents average.
• Tennessee knocks down 8.7 three-pointers per game (97th in college basketball) while shooting 34.9% from beyond the arc (121st in college basketball). It is making 2.1 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 6.6 per game while shooting 25.5%.
• The Volunteers average 101.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (66th in college basketball), and give up 77.6 points per 100 possessions (second in college basketball).
• Tennessee has committed 2.2 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 10.2 (58th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.4 (133rd in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs are outscoring opponents by 12.8 points per game, with a +230 scoring differential overall. They put up 82.9 points per game (25th in college basketball) and allow 70.1 per outing (136th in college basketball).
• Mississippi State ranks 12th in the nation at 37.4 rebounds per game. That’s 6.1 more than the 31.3 its opponents average.
• Mississippi State connects on 8.6 three-pointers per game (104th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.3. It shoots 32.7% from deep, and its opponents shoot 35%.
• Mississippi State has committed 9.6 turnovers per game (25th in college basketball), 3.8 fewer than the 13.4 it forces (59th in college basketball).

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