Tuesday’s game between the No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (20-4, 7-4 SEC) and No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats (16-7, 5-5 SEC) at Rupp Arena should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 75-74, with Tennessee securing the victory. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on February 11.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 2.5-point spread in its matchup against Tennessee. The over/under is listed at 149.5, and the two teams are projected to go under that total.

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, February 11, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Tennessee -2.5
• Point total: 149.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -130, Kentucky +108

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 75, Kentucky 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Under (149.5)

Tennessee is 15-9-0 against the spread this season compared to Kentucky’s 11-12-0 ATS record. The Volunteers have a 9-15-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Wildcats have a record of 13-10-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams average 161.5 points per game, 12.0 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Tennessee has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall. Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers’ +372 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 74.8 points per game (165th in college basketball) while allowing 59.3 per contest (third in college basketball).
• Tennessee averages 35.1 rebounds per game (47th in college basketball) while conceding 27 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 8.1 boards per game.
• Tennessee makes 8.6 three-pointers per game (100th in college basketball), 1.7 more than its opponents (6.9). It is shooting 34.3% from beyond the arc (148th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 26.6%.
• The Volunteers’ 99.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 91st in college basketball, and the 79 points they allow per 100 possessions rank second in college basketball.
• Tennessee wins the turnover battle by 1.5 per game, committing 10.2 (73rd in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.7.

Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats put up 86.7 points per game (third in college basketball) while giving up 76.6 per contest (307th in college basketball). They have a +234 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 10.1 points per game.
• Kentucky wins the rebound battle by four boards on average. It collects 35.9 rebounds per game, 27th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 31.9.
• Kentucky connects on 1.5 more threes per contest than the opposition, 10.1 (22nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.6.
• Kentucky has committed 9.8 turnovers per game (41st in college basketball) while forcing 9.2 (346th in college basketball).

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