Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 24

Published 6:16 am Monday, February 24, 2025

The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) are underdogs (+1.5) as they attempt to end a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena. The game airs on FDSSE and FDSSUN.

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Heat vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, February 24, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

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Heat vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Hawks 115 – Heat 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Hawks (+ 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Hawks (-2.0)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (227.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.8
  • The Hawks’ .474 ATS win percentage (27-30-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Heat’s .455 mark (25-30-0 ATS Record) in 2024-25.
  • Miami (15-15) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 1.5 points or more this season (50%) than Atlanta (22-15) does as a 1.5+-point underdog (59.5%).
  • Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the point total 57.9% of the time this season (33 out of 57). That’s more often than Miami and its opponents have (30 out of 55).
  • As a moneyline favorite this season, the Heat are 18-13, while the Hawks are 17-21 as moneyline underdogs.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • The Heat are scoring 110.1 points per game (24th-ranked in NBA) this season, while surrendering 110.9 points per contest (eighth-ranked).
  • With 44.1 boards per game, Miami is 17th in the NBA. It cedes 45.6 rebounds per contest, which ranks 24th in the league.
  • The Heat rank 16th in the NBA with 26.1 assists per game.
  • Miami is top-five this season in turnovers, ranking fifth-best in the league with 12.6 turnovers per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 24th with 12.5 forced turnovers per contest.
  • The Heat are sinking 13.9 treys per game (eighth-ranked in league). They have a 35.9% shooting percentage (15th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • On offense the Hawks are the seventh-ranked squad in the league (117 points per game). Defensively they are third-worst (119.6 points allowed per game).
  • At 45 rebounds per game and 44.7 rebounds allowed, Atlanta is 11th and 20th in the NBA, respectively.
  • With 29.3 assists per game, the Hawks are second-best in the league.
  • In 2024-25, Atlanta is fifth-worst in the NBA in turnovers committed (15 per game) but second-best in turnovers forced (15.8).
  • Beyond the arc, the Hawks are 15th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (13.1). They are 20th in 3-point percentage at 35%.

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