Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 26

Published 8:20 pm Tuesday, February 25, 2025

Southeast Division opponents square off when the Miami Heat (26-30) host the Atlanta Hawks (27-31) at Kaseya Center, tipping off at 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, February 26, 2025. The Hawks are 1.5-point underdogs in the game, the third matchup between the teams this season.

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Heat vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, February 26, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

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Heat vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 116 – Hawks 112

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Heat (- 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-3.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (229.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.0
  • The Hawks sport a 28-30-0 ATS record this season as opposed to the 25-31-0 mark of the Heat.
  • When the spread is set as 1.5 or more this season, Miami (15-15) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (50%) than Atlanta (22-15) does as the underdog (59.5%).
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the point total 53.6% of the time this season (30 out of 56). That’s less often than Atlanta and its opponents have (33 out of 58).
  • The Heat have a .581 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (18-13) this season, higher than the .447 winning percentage for the Hawks as a moneyline underdog (17-21).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • With 109.7 points per game on offense, the Heat rank 24th in the NBA. At the other end, they allow 110.7 points per contest, which ranks seventh in the league.
  • With 44.1 boards per game, Miami ranks 17th in the NBA. It allows 45.7 rebounds per contest, which ranks 25th in the league.
  • The Heat rank 17th in the NBA with 25.9 assists per contest.
  • Miami is committing 12.7 turnovers per game (sixth-ranked in league). It is forcing 12.6 turnovers per contest (23rd-ranked).
  • The Heat are sinking 13.8 threes per game (11th-ranked in NBA) this season, while putting up a 35.6% three-point percentage (17th-ranked).

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Hawks are eighth in the NBA on offense (116.7 points scored per game) and fourth-worst defensively (119 points allowed).
  • In 2024-25, Atlanta is 11th in the league in rebounds (45.1 per game) and 19th in rebounds allowed (44.7).
  • This season the Hawks are second-best in the NBA in assists at 29.3 per game.
  • In terms of turnovers, Atlanta is fifth-worst in the NBA in committing them (15 per game). However it is second-best in forcing them (15.8 per game).
  • The Hawks are 15th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (13.1 per game) and 20th in 3-point percentage (34.9%).

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